Just a casual Saturday morning ramble. Feel free to say if you disagree. So I’ll just start by saying that I don’t expect these things to go “through the roof” in value. There’s a good supply of MISB copies out there. A lot of us treasured and saved these things...but they’re incredibly cheap right now and that’s not going to last. So anyone who was collecting back in 2003-2007 or so will remember that these things were a HUGE deal. The reveal of BT Smokescreen knocked everyone squarely on their butts. Here we had a beautiful, complex scale model car that turned into G1 a referential robot and a companion to the incredible MP1 Convoy. This thing felt to me (and a lot of us) like a dream come true. While many of us were hip deep in Unicron trilogy fun, these figures represented exactly what was missing from the Unicron trilogy. Here are the top reasons why I think these guys are set to rebound in collectibility: 1) These figures are approaching their 20 year anniversary. This seems to be a magic number for nostalgia. For those of us who were young adults or kids at the time, the real world car modes capture a slice of what the world was like. These are cars that are just on the verge of being classics themselves. 20 years is also about the time that younger collectors (at the time) now have jobs and money to buy the toys they couldn’t have at the time. It all spells “demand.” 2) The build quality will never be matched by mass market Transformers and they’re starting to look and feel really special. While I would argue that the engineering and product development on modern TFs has more than made up for the loss of build quality, they still pretty much always feel a little too expensive for what you get. Complaints a out a $50 leader figure being a Voyager figure with accessories doesn’t even touch the gap between what you got for your $20 Alternator. As mentioned, licensed vehicles, rubber tires, clear windows, chrome (where appropriate) tons of paint, lenses for the headlights and tail lights, opening hoods, doors, trunks, working steering or suspension, etc...and a sophisticated Transformer inside it all. We’ll never get anything like this again. 3) The “weirdness” of the line is transitioning to “charm.” The meandering mess of competing priorities, last minute changes, unexpected barriers that preceded many of these figures was frustrating and vexing at the time. While many of these stories have been cleared up by TF historians (like the great @Maz -definitely read this guy’s articles !) they still have a bit of mystery about them which now feels similar to the weird origins of many G1 figures. The means by which they came into existence or how they got to their final form are not always clear and it makes them a bit more interesting, IMO. 4) Alternators were dethroned by Masterpiece...which is now dying. MP has had a great run and there are sure to be some more brilliant releases. However, we are seeing what appear to be signs that the line is “over the hill” if not in free fall. The cost is going through the roof, the pace of releases has slowed, characters who got MPs early on are now getting new (and sometimes not better) toys...on top of all of that, fragility and quality gaffs are spoiling the fun badly. On top of all of this, Takara seems to be playing it very safe making the future look quite boring if not predictable. Meanwhile, the pace of 3P Masterpiece-Scaled figures is waning...a sure sign that interest is on the decline. So with the primary competition for Alternators stepping aside, they may get some oxygen back. 5) Their main drawbacks (clumsy aesthetic, limited articulation, tricky engineering) now feel almost refreshing. Transformers today just do not work like these guys did. They feel like an evolutionary branch of TF lineage that just stopped dead. There’s no modern equivalent. The all-cartoon accurate look has been mastered since the days of the Alternators and all main line figures are capable of dynamic poses. These are experiences that can be found easily. To someone who started collecting in the post Alternators era, these will feel like transforming robots from a parallel universe. 6) They may be a good fit for collectors who take the long view or planning the final state of their collection. They represent important days in the hobby, especially within the fandom. Besides, they have a level of sophistication that lends themselves to being displayed in an adult’s home...and they can convincingly pass model cars if someone is self conscious about displaying “toys” and answering uncomfortable questions from guests. So far, perhaps thanks to well selected materials they appear to be holding up beautifully, making them look like a safe bet for long term ownership. Even the “rubber” tires seem to have generally avoided the cracking/rotting that is so often feared. They also don’t seem to have any signs of the “soft plastic melt” issues that have been identified recently. So those are some thoughts that have passed through my mind as I start to regret some of the figures that I’ve sold and rediscover those that I’ve kept. Thoughts and opinions are welcome.